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Long Hard 2019/20 #Winter To Hit #UK According To #Climatologist #DavidKing

Image result for david king 2019/20 winter predictions

Very Interesting Excerpts Below By David King

One note here is that since the methodology shows a cold period late October to early November with a probability of snow north of Buxton, the possibility of wind from the eastern quadrant is a distinct possibility. Last autumn, winter and spring the wind direction stayed from the SW, hence the warmer three seasons, for sure that will be reversed this year!

Now is the time to wander across the countryside, fruits
everywhere, many now edible too, a superb year for nuts and blackberries, with
apples, plums and pears too in large numbers. Look too at the oak tree and see
just how many acorns there are, hundreds and hundreds – yes literally too – a sure
sign of a long hard winter to come.

Whilst the hawthorn, blackthorn (a wonderful year for sloes too),
sorbus, lime, service tree, elder and rowan all have massive berry stocks, the ivy, the real life-saver backstop for birds and animals, has still to start to bud, all signs of a long hard winter.

See too the sycamore, alder, hornbeam, ash seed bearing plants
all with masses of seeds – again all off the ground. Crab apples abound
everywhere too. All this points one way – to a long hard winter, and whilst the
‘weather prophets’ are already telling us of a mild autumn and winter to come, nature – that is never wrong – points the observant ones to a very different scenario.

The winter will follow in early November, but another advance warning here; autumn will be warmish and damp
up to St Luke’s day 18th October, when this ceases then expect in places in the north
some unseasonably cold weather – even with snow in places, north of Buxton,
lasting the last week of October into the first week of November. Then damp and
stormy through to the second week of January – then winter really commences.

Courtesy of weatherwithouttechnology.co.uk

https://tinyurl.com/y3srwgql

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Not predicted: more #sea #ice than average in southern-most #Arctic first week of #August #2019

Hudson Bay weekly departure from normal 2019 Aug 5

Polar bear habitat update for the first week of August 2019 shows there is still more sea ice than average in Hudson Bay, the southern-most area of continuous habitation for this species. That certainly wasn’t part of the predictions of doom, especially since freeze-up in that region for the last two years has also been earlier-than-average which means a shorter ice-free season than we’ve seen for decades.

Despite ice coverage for the Arctic ice as a whole being marginally lower than it has been since 1979 for this time of year, sea ice for the first week of August was also above average around Svalbard in the Barents Sea and higher than the last few years in the Central Arctic, which is a critical summer refugium for polar bears that live in the peripheral seas of the Arctic Ocean, including the Chukchi (see photo below, taken in early August 2018).

Chukchi Sea polar bear Arctic_early August 2018_A Khan NSIDC small

Courtesy of polarbearscience.com

https://tinyurl.com/y65xhxn6

Record #Cold In Parts Of #Russia

Record Cold Alert

August 7 was marked by new temperature records. Moreover, they were installed in the central regions of European Russia. The northern and eastern regions of the Central Federal District turned out to be the coldest, the average daily air temperature here did not reach the norm of 4 degrees. In some cities of the Yaroslavl region, it dropped so much that it set new daily records. According to the site ” Weatherand Climate, Rybinsk became the record-breaking cities, where the minimum temperature was 7.2 degrees, which is 0.1 degrees lower than the previous record held since 1982, and Pereslavl-Zalessky colder in the morning to 3.7 degrees, the previous record, 5.4 degrees, was also noted in 1982.

In the city of Vladimir, it got colder up to +5, which also became a daily record (the previous record, 5.9 degrees, and was noted here in 1982.)

On Friday, the temperature in these areas will approach normal, and again on weekends will lag behind it 1-2 degrees.

Courtesy of hmn.ru

https://tinyurl.com/yxl5col6

The Entire Continent of #Australia is #cooling

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The Entire Continent of Australia is cooling

One of the most intense #winters in almost 50 years in #Peru

Cold Weather Alert

Lima is going through one of the coldest winters in almost 50 years , surpassing even the same season of 2018, confirmed the National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology (Senamhi).

As you know, winter in this part of the world officially began on June 21 at 10:54 am (Peruvian time) and will conclude, giving way to spring, on September 23 next at 2:50 pm We will have around 63 winter days.

According to engineer Lourdes Menis Álvarez of Senamhi, the winter of 2018 was one of the coldest in almost 50 years. However, the winter of 2019 has already surpassed it in intensity.

“Lima is currently recording minimum temperatures around 14.7 ° and 14.8 °. As for maximum temperatures, we are around 17.5 °,” Menis said in conversation with El Comercio .

“If we compare these reports with those of last year, we see that we are going through a slightly colder winter … We have temperatures 1 ° or 1.5 ° lower than those of 2018,” added the climatology specialist.

Why did the cold increase? According to Senamhi engineer, this is mainly due to the increase in humidity in the environment. “The recurrence of drizzles are being much greater than last year. Only in July there were already 12 days of drizzle, when it is normal to have only five … Normally the humidity is 92% and 95%; however, already we are registering humidity of up to 98%. On days with heavy drizzle, this has increased up to 100%, “he said.

In the opinion of the engineer Menis this type of cold winters are those that are recorded in the chronicles of the history of Lima. Only before the occurrence of phenomena such as El Niño of 2017 “we had already got used to having long summers and, practically, our winters were warm.”

The Senamhi monitors the weather in Lima through three weather stations. These are located in Callao, Jesús María and La Molina.

Courtesy of elcomercio.pe

https://tinyurl.com/y67f6c47