Britain could be facing a new “Beast from the East” big freeze this winter, scientists have warned.
After studying sea temperatures and air pressures over the north Atlantic Ocean, climate experts have suggested January and February 2020 could be among the coldest for decades.
This would be caused by the jet stream – strong winds that move weather systems across from the Atlantic to Britain – deflecting southwards for weeks around Christmas, allowing freezing air to dominate the country, it is predicted.
The predictions for over four months’ time are one of the longest-range UK weather forecasts ever attempted.
Scientists from University College London have forecast an average temperature of 3.9C (39F) for January to February next year in central England – which they said was 0.5C below the 1981-2010 average for the same period.
The team, led by Mark Saunders, professor of climate prediction at UCL, wrote in a paper: “This would rank 2020 January-February central England as the coldest winter since January-February 2013.
“It would also rank January-February 2020 as the seventh coldest winter in the last 30 years, and the 23rd coldest winter since 1953.”
“There is a 57% chance the central England temperature will be colder than the 4.1C (39.4F) in 2018, thus making it the coldest January-February since 2013,” they added.
The 2018 “Beast from the East” happened as very cold air swept in from Russia.
It brought unusually low temperatures and heavy snowfall to large parts of the UK in late February and March last year.
Seventeen people died, including a seven-year-old girl, and temperatures plummeted to -17C in the Cairngorms in Scotland.
The possible new extreme freezing weather would contrast markedly with this July when the UK recorded its highest-ever temperature, which was 38.7C (101.7F) in Cambridge.
Courtesy of Sky News
Very Interesting Excerpts Below By David King
One note here is that since the methodology shows a cold period late October to early November with a probability of snow north of Buxton, the possibility of wind from the eastern quadrant is a distinct possibility. Last autumn, winter and spring the wind direction stayed from the SW, hence the warmer three seasons, for sure that will be reversed this year!
Now is the time to wander across the countryside, fruits
everywhere, many now edible too, a superb year for nuts and blackberries, with
apples, plums and pears too in large numbers. Look too at the oak tree and see
just how many acorns there are, hundreds and hundreds – yes literally too – a sure
sign of a long hard winter to come.
Whilst the hawthorn, blackthorn (a wonderful year for sloes too),
sorbus, lime, service tree, elder and rowan all have massive berry stocks, the ivy, the real life-saver backstop for birds and animals, has still to start to bud, all signs of a long hard winter.
See too the sycamore, alder, hornbeam, ash seed bearing plants
all with masses of seeds – again all off the ground. Crab apples abound
everywhere too. All this points one way – to a long hard winter, and whilst the
‘weather prophets’ are already telling us of a mild autumn and winter to come, nature – that is never wrong – points the observant ones to a very different scenario.
The winter will follow in early November, but another advance warning here; autumn will be warmish and damp
up to St Luke’s day 18th October, when this ceases then expect in places in the north
some unseasonably cold weather – even with snow in places, north of Buxton,
lasting the last week of October into the first week of November. Then damp and
stormy through to the second week of January – then winter really commences.
Courtesy of weatherwithouttechnology.co.uk
- Official Met Office figures for snowfall on Tuesday showed the worst-hit areas were Tulloch Bridge, Inverness-shire, with 11cm, and Spadeadam, Cumbria, with 10cm.
- The airports urged people to check the status of their flight before travelling after the Met Office said Britain was facing “very significant” snowfall this week.
- Manchester and Liverpool airports have temporarily halted flights due to the severe weather, with images posted to social media showing both runways blanketed in snow.
- Schools in Manchester and Liverpool have reported closures today as the freezing temperatures set in.
- Parts of Wales have been affected by the wintry conditions, especially as more than 100 schools have been forced to close.
- The Met Office has issued an updated yellow weather warning for snow and ice on Thursday and Friday.
- The forecaster is now warning of more snow and ice between 1pm on Thursday and 9pm on Friday across much of England and Wales.
- Around 2,400 soldiers are said to be poised to assist following warnings “dangerous weather” will cut power supplies and leave people in rural communities snowed in.
***SEVERE UK YELLOW ALERT***
UK COLD WEATHER LEVEL 2 YELLOW